trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 11 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles | Jun 09 | $11 | +$11 | +107% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 | Jun 09 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June | Jun 07 | $6 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Bi | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -51.4% | -56.0% | 17% | 17% | -40.1% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -51.4% | -56.0% | 17% | 17% | -40.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -58.4% | -62.3% | 14% | 14% | -42.3% |
| all | 7 | -58.4% | -62.3% | 14% | 14% | -42.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -62.3% | 14% | -42.3% |
| 10% | -65.9% | 14% | -47.9% |
| 15% | -69.2% | 14% | -52.9% |
| 20% | -72.2% | 14% | -57.5% |