trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 35 | -14.5% | -22.7% | 26% | 26% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.7% | 26% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -30.1% | 26% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -36.8% | 26% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 26% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $420 | $420 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $330 | $330 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $200 | $200 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 17 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 16 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 16 | $290 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 16 | $430 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $250 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hornets vs. Pelicans | Nov 04 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Nov 03 | $7 | +$9 | +122% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Oct 16 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Rangers | Oct 15 | $7 | +$7 | +100% |
| Orioles vs. Yankees | Oct 09 | $15 | +$11 | +72% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Sep 26 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 23 | $2 | +$3 | +127% |
| Pirates vs. Orioles | Sep 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Red Sox vs. Orioles | Aug 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Cowboys | Aug 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Pirates vs. Brewers | Aug 13 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Yankees | Aug 12 | $12 | +$7 | +56% |
| Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | Aug 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Aug 06 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Jul 31 | $4 | +$3 | +79% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 09 | $4 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Feb 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 07 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Feb 06 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers | Feb 05 | $117 | +$100 | +85% |
| Hawks vs. Bulls | Nov 26 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |