trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 60% | 8% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 60% | 8% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 8% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 8% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 8% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 4% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 76¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-22%) |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 68¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-31%) |
| Will Micron (MU) close at >$1,080 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 97¢ | 73¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19? | No | 98¢ | 74¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on April 21? | Apr 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on April 21? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 21? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 21? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on April 21? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Apr 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 20 | $755 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 20 | $758 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | Mar 20 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $766 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 20 | $697 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio | Mar 20 | $497 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Mar 20 | $778 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 20 | $745 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 20 | $775 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 19? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +36% |