Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:02:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b22…5952
crypto · 969 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$163 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$163 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$163
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses653 / 316
Open positions0
Markets (closed)969 / 969
History coverage184d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 969 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$114
other 5% −$41
sports 0% −$11
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -11.0% -19.4% 73% 29% -18.8%
≤30d 86 -11.0% -19.4% 73% 29% -18.8%
≤90d 596 -10.3% -18.9% 67% 31% -14.4%
all 969 -1.5% -10.9% 67% 38% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 38% -12.1%
10% -19.4% 27% -20.5%
15% -27.2% 21% -28.2%
20% -34.3% 16% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2686 history records