Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b22…35bb
crypto · 520 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$90 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses418 / 102
Open positions0
Markets (closed)520 / 520
History coverage27d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$7
14 days+$3
30 days+$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 92¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 75¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 79¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$5 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $13 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -1.9% -11.3% 89% 0% -10.9%
≤30d 520 +1.0% -8.6% 80% 27% -8.2%
≤90d 520 +1.0% -8.6% 80% 27% -8.2%
all 520 +1.0% -8.6% 80% 27% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 27% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 18% -17.0%
15% -25.3% 8% -25.0%
20% -32.7% 2% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.24 · official $0.00 (match) · 1218 history records