Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b23…04a3
sports · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6,680 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,124 · open −$445
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,773
Realized+$7,124
Unrealized−$445
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses311 / 222
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$533
Open positions42
Markets (closed)533 / 573
History coverage2d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day1433.3
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 42 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$993
7 days+$7,124
14 days+$7,124
30 days+$7,124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5,455 $5,281 −$174 (-3%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 73¢ 85¢ $478 $559 +$81 (+17%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 54¢ 60¢ $458 $503 +$45 (+10%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $379 $431 +$52 (+14%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 53¢ 96¢ $189 $340 +$151 (+80%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Under 37¢ 76¢ $81 $166 +$85 (+104%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Over 47¢ 56¢ $118 $141 +$23 (+19%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Under 65¢ 97¢ $89 $133 +$44 (+50%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Under 43¢ 54¢ $100 $126 +$26 (+26%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 33¢ 40¢ $80 $98 +$18 (+23%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Golden State Valkyries 71¢ 95¢ $61 $81 +$20 (+33%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) Athletics 89¢ 78¢ $87 $76 −$10 (-12%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 96¢ 100¢ $70 $73 +$3 (+5%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Chicago Cubs 52¢ 88¢ $40 $68 +$28 (+69%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Over 67¢ 85¢ $49 $62 +$13 (+27%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Under 56¢ 76¢ $41 $56 +$15 (+36%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 54¢ 78¢ $37 $53 +$16 (+44%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 34¢ 15¢ $104 $45 −$58 (-56%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Over 48¢ 61¢ $29 $37 +$8 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 51¢ 74¢ $20 $29 +$9 (+44%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Over 39¢ 46¢ $23 $27 +$4 (+17%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 82¢ 92¢ $24 $26 +$3 (+12%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Athletics 90¢ 80¢ $29 $26 −$3 (-11%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 25¢ 5¢ $127 $25 −$102 (-80%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 46¢ 42¢ $27 $25 −$2 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $10 +$15 +147%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $264 +$23 +9%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $62 +$16 +27%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $315 +$287 +91%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $103 −$8 -7%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 13 $65 +$13 +20%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $287 +$22 +8%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $135 −$2 -1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $113 +$13 +11%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $200 +$9 +5%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $197 +$15 +8%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $661 +$41 +6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $70 +$37 +54%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $120 +$10 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $348 +$239 +69%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $120 +$9 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $482 +$103 +22%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 +$5 +17%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $52 +$26 +50%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $127 −$89 -70%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 −$5 -30%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $47 +$117 +250%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $568 +$53 +9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $37 −$9 -23%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $189 +$29 +15%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $94 +$50 +54%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $90 +$104 +116%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $134 +$21 +16%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $212 +$176 +83%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $85 +$69 +82%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +83%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $544 +$53 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$6,707
other 13% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 17¢ $2 0m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 31¢ $13 0m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 39¢ $23 1m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 60¢ $12 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 60¢ $3 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 58¢ $28 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 53¢ $45 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 47¢ $2 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 70¢ $7 4m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 61¢ $22 5m
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 46¢ $27 5m
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 21¢ $4 8m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 93¢ $100 9m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 34¢ $10 11m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 34¢ $10 12m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 90¢ $100 12m
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 23¢ $1 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $10 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $10 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 33¢ $10 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $10 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $10 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 32¢ $10 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 31¢ $10 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 31¢ $10 13m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 69¢ $17 13m
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 84¢ $4 13m
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 89¢ $4 13m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 43¢ $102 13m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Under 99¢ $6 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 533 +16.2% +5.1% 58% 41% +3.3%
≤30d 533 +16.2% +5.1% 58% 41% +3.3%
≤90d 533 +16.2% +5.1% 58% 41% +3.3%
all 533 +16.2% +5.1% 58% 41% +3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1433.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.1% 41% +3.3%
10% ← realistic here -4.9% 32% -6.6%
15% -14.1% 25% -15.6%
20% -22.5% 20% -23.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,773.11 · official $8,773.11 (match) · 3500 history records