Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:13:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b32…56f3
crypto · 270 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$177
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses125 / 144
Open positions1
Markets (closed)269 / 270
History coverage21d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 269 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days−$136
30 days−$177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 72¢ 82¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$7 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$4 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$9 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$15 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$9 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$27 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$3 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +188%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$21 +102%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$1 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $15 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $15 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $16 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $3 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $20 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $13 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $3 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.1% -16.0% 55% 42% -8.1%
≤30d 269 -11.7% -20.2% 46% 39% -16.7%
≤90d 269 -11.7% -20.2% 46% 39% -16.7%
all 269 -11.7% -20.2% 46% 39% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 39% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 29% -24.6%
15% -34.8% 24% -31.9%
20% -41.2% 20% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.46 · official $11.25 (match) · 666 history records