Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:21:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b36…0d4b
crypto · 851 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32,102 -82%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,960 · open +$169
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,054
Realized+$2,960
Unrealized+$169
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses207 / 833
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$179
Open positions134
Markets (closed)1040 / 851
History coverage3d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day955.7
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 134 History 1040 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,724
7 days+$2,960
14 days+$2,960
30 days+$2,960
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 32¢ $1,134 $1,393 +$259 (+23%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $1,100 $1,341 +$241 (+22%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 100¢ $830 $1,304 +$474 (+57%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $642 $511 −$131 (-20%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 31¢ 46¢ $319 $468 +$150 (+47%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 22¢ $770 $297 −$473 (-61%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $296 $271 −$25 (-8%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $153 $154 +$0 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $142 $126 −$17 (-12%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $114 $112 −$1 (-1%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 93¢ 90¢ $75 $73 −$2 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $63 $72 +$9 (+14%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $57 $56 −$1 (-2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $60 $54 −$6 (-10%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $41 $41 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 88¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 84¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $22 $23 +$0 (+2%)
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 63¢ 58¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-8%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 83¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+0%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $16 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$22 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$20 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 14 $10 −$20 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 2AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $245 −$245 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$30 -200%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24? Jun 14 $1 −$3 -205%
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$36 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 −$9 -3054%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$18 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$4,257
sports 22% +$13,770
crypto 14% +$85
weather 0% −$12
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 53¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 4m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 50¢ $36 4m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 5m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 10m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $20 12m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $8 13m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 14m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 15m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 15m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $114 23m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 25m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $100 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $60 27m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 28m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 21¢ $2 29m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $50 33m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $4 33m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 34m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $25 35m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $50 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $26 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $7 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-51.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1040 -46.7% -51.8% 20% 18% +2.4%
≤30d 1040 -46.7% -51.8% 20% 18% +2.4%
≤90d 1040 -46.7% -51.8% 20% 18% +2.4%
all 1040 -46.7% -51.8% 20% 18% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover955.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.8% 18% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -56.4% 17% -7.4%
15% -60.6% 15% -16.3%
20% -64.5% 14% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,053.60 · official $7,055.39 (match) · 3500 history records