Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:06:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b37…0d27
other · 152 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$50 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized+$63
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses68 / 73
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions11
Markets (closed)141 / 152
History coverage227d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 11 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Under 55¢ 55¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 50¢ 50¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Under 41¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $13 +$7 +55%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 +$6 +73%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 +$12 +67%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 +$13 +172%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$25 +129%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $17 +$13 +73%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 11 $7 +$13 +188%
Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? May 21 $4 +$4 +80%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $11 −$10 -95%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $13 +$27 +197%
Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? May 19 $1 $0 +39%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 17 $30 +$18 +60%
76ers vs. Knicks May 17 $44 +$16 +38%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 03 $9 −$5 -52%
Magic vs. Pistons May 03 $33 +$9 +27%
Bruins vs. Flyers May 03 $26 +$19 +75%
Panthers vs. Penguins May 03 $34 +$16 +47%
Warriors vs. Mavericks May 03 $44 +$36 +82%
Bucks vs. Jazz Mar 23 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? Mar 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m Mar 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting? Mar 23 $7 −$7 -100%
Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Mar 18 $13 −$1 -9%
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Mar 16 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local Mar 15 $2 +$1 +50%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? Mar 09 $14 −$6 -42%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 07 $6 +$2 +25%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on Mar 07 $7 −$1 -14%
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Mar 06 $3 −$2 -50%
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam? Mar 04 $11 −$1 -13%
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? Mar 02 $2 +$1 +40%
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch? Mar 02 $2 $0 +0%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? Feb 18 $23 +$1 +6%
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting? Feb 09 $2 −$1 -25%
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? Jan 14 $255 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11? Jan 12 $252 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 35% +$11
other 29% −$23
world 10% +$3
politics 10% −$2
sports 8% +$65
tech 5% −$8
finance 1% $0
weather 1% $0
economics 1% $0
culture 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $6 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 41¢ $2 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $6 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $9 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 55¢ $17 1h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 50¢ $15 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 56¢ $17 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $17 13h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $18 19h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $2 19h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $13 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $9 19h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $12 19h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 41h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 41h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 41h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $19 41h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $18 41h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $14 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $7 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $17 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $20 4d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY JD Gaming 25¢ $5 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 34¢ $7 8d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) BUY Costa Rica 36¢ $11 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -20.6% -28.2% 38% 38% -26.7%
≤30d 27 -4.2% -13.3% 48% 48% -7.5%
≤90d 38 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 45% -1.5%
all 141 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 14% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 14% -8.9%
10% -20.1% 14% -17.7%
15% -27.8% 13% -25.6%
20% -34.9% 9% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.23 · official $91.25 (match) · 421 history records