Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:32:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6b56…cb87 crypto 1042 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (453 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$4,436 (+3%) realized +$4,436 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate94%1033W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$139per market
Trades / day453.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$461now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (453 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1102 -5.2% -14.2% 94% 1% -15.9%
≤30d 1102 -5.2% -14.2% 94% 1% -15.9%
≤90d 1102 -5.2% -14.2% 94% 1% -15.9%
all 1102 -5.2% -14.2% 94% 1% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover453.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 1% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 0% -23.9%
15% -29.9% 0% -31.3%
20% -36.8% 0% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$183 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.13 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$461
Realized+$4,436
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1033 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1102 / 1042
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$139
Trades / day453.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1102 Trades
no open positions (69 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $296 −$296 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $148 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $47 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $461.14 · official $461.14 (match) · 3500 history records