trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +307.6% | +268.8% | 100% | 100% | +268.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +49.8% | +35.6% | 40% | 40% | +58.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -23.5% | -30.8% | 29% | 24% | +8.5% |
| all | 23 | -30.2% | -36.8% | 26% | 22% | +6.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.8% | 22% | +6.0% |
| 10% | -42.9% | 22% | -4.2% |
| 15% | -48.4% | 22% | -13.4% |
| 20% | -53.4% | 22% | -21.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 11¢ | $30 | $90 | +$60 (+199%) |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? | Yes | 13¢ | 4¢ | $120 | $42 | −$78 (-65%) |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? | Yes | 39¢ | 22¢ | $60 | $33 | −$27 (-45%) |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $30 | +$10 (+48%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m | Jun 22 | $10 | +$31 | +308% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? | Jun 10 | $62 | +$145 | +234% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May? | Jun 03 | $31 | −$9 | -29% |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m? | May 28 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m? | May 28 | $31 | −$30 | -96% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? | May 17 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April? | May 13 | $10 | +$22 | +213% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April? | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 05 | $10 | −$7 | -66% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April? | Apr 12 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13? | Apr 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March? | Apr 12 | $30 | +$36 | +121% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March? | Apr 08 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards | Apr 07 | $53 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Award | Apr 07 | $50 | +$41 | +81% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy A | Mar 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |