Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:01:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b62…c66c
crypto · 1412 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$414 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$414 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$414
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses734 / 678
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1412 / 1412
History coverage32d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day69.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1412 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$656
14 days−$477
30 days−$522
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $412 +$38 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $233 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $201 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$14 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$28 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$89 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$71 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$56 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$27 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$15 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$14 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$20 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $113 −$105 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $123 −$12 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $123 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $82 +$39 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $163 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $42 +$8 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $165 +$45 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $83 +$29 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 09 $165 −$17 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $166 −$55 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $85 +$38 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $123 +$31 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$414
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $53 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $41 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $52 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $216 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $210 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $202 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $295 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $205 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $202 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $175 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $83 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $81 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 -5.7% -14.7% 64% 52% -13.3%
≤30d 1306 -3.0% -12.2% 51% 45% -11.4%
≤90d 1412 -1.7% -11.1% 52% 46% -11.0%
all 1412 -1.7% -11.1% 52% 46% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 46% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 38% -19.5%
15% -27.3% 32% -27.3%
20% -34.5% 28% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records