Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b6c…d56c
sports · 190 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14,198 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,359 · open −$838
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$528
Realized−$13,359
Unrealized−$838
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses98 / 89
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,202
Open positions3
Markets (closed)187 / 190
History coverage56d
Avg bet$557
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 187 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$103
7 days+$233
14 days−$144
30 days−$8,191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 38¢ 26¢ $395 $265 −$130 (-33%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 67¢ 44¢ $393 $262 −$131 (-33%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 57¢ 0¢ $578 $1 −$577 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 37¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 74¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Anhelina Kalinina 74¢ 0¢ $541 $0 −$541 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima 16¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 66¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Daniel Milavsky Daniel Milavsky 26¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina 70¢ 0¢ $538 $0 −$538 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 22¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Hubert Hurkacz 81¢ 0¢ $586 $0 −$586 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta 20¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann Jil Teichmann 33¢ 0¢ $632 $0 −$632 (-100%)
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Maria Lourdes Carle Maria Lourdes Carle 29¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 80¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 53¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu Claire Liu 36¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatsch Sara Sorribes Tormo 55¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler McCartney Kessler 60¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5) Svitolina 52¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina Elena Rybakina 70¢ 0¢ $992 $0 −$992 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirstea Eva Lys 22¢ 0¢ $922 $0 −$922 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Elina Svitolina 47¢ 0¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 29¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $920 +$8 +1%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $862 −$862 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $794 +$124 +16%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $515 +$280 +54%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1,165 +$183 +16%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $511 −$482 -94%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $534 +$632 +118%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $438 +$606 +138%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $73 −$73 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $440 −$408 -93%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $302 −$300 -99%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $587 +$155 +26%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $397 +$189 +48%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $347 +$51 +15%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $590 −$586 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $606 −$16 -3%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $404 +$201 +50%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $495 −$490 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $884 +$387 +44%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $799 +$85 +11%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $598 +$263 +44%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $506 +$93 +18%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $221 +$284 +128%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $91 −$90 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $227 −$222 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $471 −$463 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $561 −$550 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $1,624 +$219 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $911 +$396 +43%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $494 +$215 +44%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $525 +$387 +74%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $998 +$468 +47%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $691 +$145 +21%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $351 +$340 +97%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann May 31 $645 −$632 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $586 +$61 +10%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $405 +$243 +60%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $256 −$250 -98%
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5) May 31 $76 −$75 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 30 $143 −$140 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 30 $974 −$831 -85%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 30 $365 +$609 +167%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova May 30 $1,232 −$581 -47%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio May 30 $599 +$347 +58%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 29 $800 −$519 -65%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $750 −$487 -65%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik May 29 $114 +$946 +830%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $154 −$40 -26%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova May 29 $6 +$39 +602%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $537 −$428 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$14,711
other 3% +$795
crypto 1% −$282
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $397 53m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 42¢ $97 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 37¢ $306 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik SELL Alexander Bublik 100¢ $928 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 99¢ $920 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 100¢ $919 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 86¢ $794 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $795 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 64¢ $515 3h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 53¢ $862 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $1,348 3h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Nuno Borges 5¢ $29 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 86¢ $1,165 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 100¢ $1,165 4h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 85¢ $511 4h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 100¢ $500 5h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 45¢ $534 5h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 99¢ $543 5h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 41¢ $438 6h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 80¢ $73 27h
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang SELL Tallon Griekspoor 5¢ $32 28h
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang BUY Tallon Griekspoor 67¢ $440 28h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Arthur Rinderknech 74¢ $302 28h
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova SELL Magda Linette 99¢ $742 28h
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova BUY Magda Linette 78¢ $587 29h
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens SELL Gabriela Ruse 100¢ $587 29h
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens BUY Gabriela Ruse 67¢ $397 30h
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Zeynep Sonmez 99¢ $398 30h
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Zeynep Sonmez 86¢ $347 31h
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Hubert Hurkacz 81¢ $590 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -2.6% -11.9% 62% 58% -7.9%
≤30d 115 +1.6% -8.0% 51% 46% -20.3%
≤90d 187 -5.9% -14.8% 52% 46% -20.8%
all 187 -5.9% -14.8% 52% 46% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 46% -20.8%
10% -23.0% 36% -28.4%
15% -30.4% 31% -35.3%
20% -37.2% 21% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $527.58 · official $527.58 (match) · 476 history records