Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b6e…ddfd
sports · 3 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
−$5 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage134d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? Jan 30 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$5
other 41% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $13 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $3 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $10 3h
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? BUY No 0¢ $4 133d
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? BUY No 36¢ $5 134d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +45.0% +31.2% 100% 100% +21.8%
≤30d 2 +45.0% +31.2% 100% 100% +21.8%
≤90d 2 +45.0% +31.2% 100% 100% +21.8%
all 3 -3.3% -12.5% 67% 67% -28.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 67% -28.0%
10% -20.9% 67% -34.9%
15% -28.5% 33% -41.2%
20% -35.5% 33% -46.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 7 history records