Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:39:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b71…3081
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$3 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage3d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 +$4 +60%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $23 +$10 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% −$3
crypto 10% $0
sports 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $6 34m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $3 2d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $7 2d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $7 2d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $7 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $23 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-31.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -24.2% -31.4% 50% 50% -15.0%
≤30d 4 -24.2% -31.4% 50% 50% -15.0%
≤90d 4 -24.2% -31.4% 50% 50% -15.0%
all 4 -24.2% -31.4% 50% 50% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.4% 50% -15.0%
10% -38.0% 50% -23.1%
15% -44.0% 50% -30.6%
20% -49.5% 25% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.43 · official $20.43 (match) · 13 history records