Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T13:08:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6b80…01e7 crypto 1095 markets active 0h ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate63%686W / 409L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day47.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -3.1% -12.3% 70% 55% -9.6%
≤30d 169 -6.2% -15.1% 59% 41% -11.6%
≤90d 1095 -4.7% -13.7% 63% 38% -11.1%
all 1095 -4.7% -13.7% 63% 38% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 38% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 18% -19.6%
15% -29.5% 9% -27.3%
20% -36.4% 4% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses686 / 409
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1095 / 1095
History coverage62d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day47.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1095 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$10 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$12 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $26 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$12 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $21 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 23 $12 −$11 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 27 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 27 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 27 $5 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $35 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $34 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $14 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $18 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $35 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3338 history records