Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:10:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b9b…2bf9
crypto · 693 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,241 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,238 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$2,238
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses412 / 278
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions3
Markets (closed)690 / 693
History coverage90d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day29.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 690 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$358
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $23 $21 −$2 (-7%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 59¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $183 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$15 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$9 -51%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$6 +17%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 +$10 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$4 -59%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 07 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $15 +$1 +6%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 07 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 30 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 30 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 30 $6 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02? May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02? May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02? May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02? May 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02? May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 30 $31 −$26 -83%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$1,842
other 3% −$266
sports 1% −$132
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $152 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $8 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -9.4% -18.1% 63% 57% -17.9%
≤30d 53 -39.4% -45.1% 42% 38% -40.6%
≤90d 690 -2.1% -11.5% 60% 50% -14.9%
all 690 -2.1% -11.5% 60% 50% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 50% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 39% -23.1%
15% -27.7% 27% -30.5%
20% -34.8% 18% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.99 · official $29.14 (match) · 2995 history records