Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6ba6…0eb0 crypto 1960 markets active 1h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (50 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,075 (-44%) realized −$3,075 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate70%1532W / 647L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day50.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,977
7 days−$2,929
14 days−$2,823
30 days−$2,677
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (50 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 441 -62.6% -66.2% 33% 23% -81.6%
≤30d 1511 -14.7% -22.8% 76% 39% -37.6%
≤90d 2179 -12.3% -20.7% 70% 41% -35.0%
all 2179 -12.3% -20.7% 70% 41% -35.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 41% -35.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 16% -41.3%
15% -35.2% 8% -46.9%
20% -41.6% 6% -52.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,075
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1532 / 647
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2179 / 1960
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day50.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2179 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records