Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6ba9…8f84
crypto · 127 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses32 / 81
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)113 / 127
History coverage110d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 14 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $1 $20 +$19 (+1899%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 96¢ 98¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? No 84¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 84¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 96¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Yes 47¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +26%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +24%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +62%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain Jun 02 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Feb 27 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Feb 27 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Feb 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Feb 26 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Feb 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Feb 26 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Feb 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Feb 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Feb 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Feb 26 $1 +$4 +567%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Feb 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Feb 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Feb 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$20
other 19% $0
sports 1% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 6d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 6d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 79¢ $1 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 7d
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 8d
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 84¢ $1 11d
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? BUY No 80¢ $1 11d
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup BUY Yes 96¢ $1 11d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 11d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 11d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 12d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 84¢ $2 12d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 12d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain BUY Hong Kong, China 67¢ $1 12d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 12d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 12d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 84¢ $1 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 106d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 106d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +37.4% +24.3% 100% 100% +27.5%
≤30d 4 +40.0% +26.6% 100% 100% +28.9%
≤90d 4 +40.0% +26.6% 100% 100% +28.9%
all 113 -1.6% -11.0% 28% 27% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 27% -20.3%
10% -19.5% 26% -27.9%
15% -27.3% 24% -34.9%
20% -34.4% 23% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.57 · official $43.57 (match) · 273 history records