trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +166.9% | +141.5% | 100% | 100% | +141.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +98.7% | +79.8% | 67% | 67% | +142.1% |
| all | 9 | +59.6% | +44.4% | 56% | 56% | +138.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +44.4% | 56% | +138.7% |
| 10% | +30.6% | 56% | +115.9% |
| 15% | +18.0% | 56% | +95.0% |
| 20% | +6.4% | 56% | +75.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $260 | $246 | −$14 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 15 | $180 | +$300 | +167% |
| Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorn | May 28 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | May 28 | $101 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Sen | May 20 | $196 | +$341 | +174% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 20 | $942 | +$1,771 | +188% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 13 | $38 | +$62 | +163% |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Mar 04 | $10 | +$14 | +144% |
| Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Aug 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Aug 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |