trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 52% | 19% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.4% | 19% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -27.1% | 11% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -34.1% | 7% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 7% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 20 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 20 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 20 | $380 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 11 | $200 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $211 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $402 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 16 | $322 | +$1 | +0% |
| Clavicular charged again by June 30? | Feb 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this wee | Feb 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2? | Feb 11 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025? | Jan 26 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings? | Jan 26 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Counter-Strike: RUBY vs SPARTA (BO3) | Nov 26 | $1 | +$1 | +59% |
| Will Mike McDaniel be the next coach fired? | Oct 21 | $2 | −$1 | -75% |
| Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 10 | $2 | −$1 | -68% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in August? | Oct 10 | $2 | $0 | +22% |
| Knicks vs. Pistons | Aug 02 | $2 | +$1 | +57% |
| Human to human bird flu transmission before February? | Jul 11 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2024? | Jan 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 02 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix? | Nov 29 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Miami beat Duke? | Nov 07 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31? | Nov 02 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30? | Oct 05 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Bengals extend Ja'Marr Chase before regular season? | Sep 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31? | Sep 21 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Aug 27 | $217 | −$1 | -0% |