Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bca…f109
sports · 486 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$1,080 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,089 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized−$1,089
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses263 / 211
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions12
Markets (closed)474 / 486
History coverage154d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 12 History 474 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$29
14 days−$4
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 23¢ 81¢ $5 $16 +$12 (+252%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-11%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 62¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Canada 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? No 78¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score No 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5 Over 70¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Bhutan 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $70 +$30 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$6 +146%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 Jun 11 $16 +$4 +28%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $14 −$14 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $6 −$5 -75%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $13 +$7 +52%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $20 +$10 +50%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $31 +$9 +31%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5) Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $18 −$17 -99%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $6 +$4 +72%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +67%
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $16 +$4 +27%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 09 $5 +$5 +89%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$5 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $5 +$5 +93%
Niger vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $12 +$8 +73%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $14 +$6 +42%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $14 +$6 +40%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $6 −$6 -99%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $12 −$12 -99%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 +$5 +101%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $35 +$15 +42%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $5 +$5 +119%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $3 +$2 +76%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $14 +$6 +48%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $76 +$24 +32%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $3 +$2 +76%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3 +$7 +197%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 05 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $16 +$4 +28%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $5 +$5 +100%
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 05 $11 −$10 -99%
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Jun 04 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Bhutan win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5 Jun 04 $14 −$14 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 03 $8 −$8 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 03 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $32 −$32 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 35% −$115
other 25% −$325
finance 19% −$77
world 13% −$582
crypto 6% +$11
culture 2% +$16
economics 0% +$1
politics 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $2 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $3 3h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $1 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $12 3h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Canada 27¢ $1 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 34h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 SELL Over 100¢ $20 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $7 35h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $4 35h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $70 35h
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Spurs 84¢ $17 35h
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) BUY Spurs 70¢ $14 36h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 BUY Over 84¢ $17 36h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 SELL Under 16¢ $2 36h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 BUY Over 78¢ $8 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 BUY Over 78¢ $2 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 BUY Over 78¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 BUY Over 78¢ $4 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 61¢ $6 2d
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY England 66¢ $20 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $13 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $31 2d
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Portugal 52¢ $5 2d
Spread: Tajikistan (-1.5) BUY Tajikistan 31¢ $3 2d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 58¢ $18 2d
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 60¢ $3 3d
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 3d
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 3d
China PR vs. Thailand: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +9.6% -0.8% 63% 63% -4.9%
≤30d 136 -7.8% -16.6% 54% 52% -11.0%
≤90d 379 -8.6% -17.3% 51% 47% -21.1%
all 474 -3.1% -12.3% 55% 50% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 50% -17.4%
10% -20.7% 42% -25.3%
15% -28.4% 31% -32.5%
20% -35.4% 23% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.80 · official $67.81 (match) · 1535 history records