Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:48:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bde…4b46
crypto · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$258 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$258 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$258
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses24 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage2d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day72.3
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$258
7 days+$258
14 days+$258
30 days+$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$21 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$25 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$38 +191%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$60 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$22 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$192 +610%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$22 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$258
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $13 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +30.4% +18.0% 80% 47% +18.6%
≤30d 30 +30.4% +18.0% 80% 47% +18.6%
≤90d 30 +30.4% +18.0% 80% 47% +18.6%
all 30 +30.4% +18.0% 80% 47% +18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.0% 47% +18.6%
10% ← realistic here +6.7% 43% +7.3%
15% -3.6% 37% -3.1%
20% -13.1% 23% -12.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 170 history records