Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:37:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6be5…a995
crypto · 399 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses248 / 149
Open positions2
Markets (closed)397 / 399
History coverage158d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 397 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday? No 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 19 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 19 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 19 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 19 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 19 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 19 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 19 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 19 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 18 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 18 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 18 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 18 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 18 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 18 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 18 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 18 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$61
other 0% −$16
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -25.2% -32.3% 56% 44% -10.9%
≤30d 100 -11.6% -20.0% 59% 36% -12.4%
≤90d 276 -8.7% -17.4% 62% 34% -9.0%
all 397 -10.4% -18.9% 62% 35% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 35% -11.0%
10% -26.7% 21% -19.5%
15% -33.8% 14% -27.3%
20% -40.3% 10% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.94 · official $14.94 (match) · 1188 history records