trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 100% | 100% | +37.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -18.6% | -26.4% | 50% | 50% | -47.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 80% | 47% | -6.1% |
| all | 20 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 85% | 35% | -6.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 35% | -6.4% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 20% | -15.3% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 15% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 15% | -31.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Miami Marlins | 35¢ | 34¢ | $169 | $167 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 08 | $98 | +$51 | +52% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 02 | $140 | −$138 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 25 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leagu | May 18 | $63 | +$46 | +73% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 12 | $149 | +$336 | +226% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | May 12 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 12 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 12 | $12 | +$2 | +19% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | May 12 | $18 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? | May 12 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | May 12 | $24 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | May 12 | $42 | +$8 | +18% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | May 12 | $54 | +$9 | +17% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 12 | $76 | +$20 | +26% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 06 | $152 | −$149 | -98% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 03 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? | Feb 03 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Feb 03 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of January? | Feb 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | Jan 09 | $18 | $0 | +0% |