Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:43:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6bfc…b939
crypto · 833 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,310 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,297 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$1,297
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses587 / 245
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)832 / 833
History coverage17d
Avg bet$108
Trades / day152.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 832 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$21
14 days−$126
30 days−$1,297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 93¢ 50¢ $28 $15 −$13 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$8 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$10 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$6 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$13 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$15 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$11 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$9 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$10 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,288
other 0% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 519 +1.8% -7.9% 61% 40% -9.7%
≤30d 832 -0.2% -9.7% 71% 27% -10.8%
≤90d 832 -0.2% -9.7% 71% 27% -10.8%
all 832 -0.2% -9.7% 71% 27% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 27% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 21% -19.4%
15% -26.2% 16% -27.2%
20% -33.4% 11% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.15 · official $15.15 (match) · 3500 history records