Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T05:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6c16…04f7 crypto 245 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,978 (-23%) realized −$1,978 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate29%70W / 171L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day84.0pace
Fees−$35est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$736
7 days−$1,717
14 days−$2,071
30 days−$2,071
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 67% −$1,174
sports 18% −$559
other 14% −$248
world 1% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-32.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 -26.5% -33.5% 31% 31% -32.3%
≤30d 241 -25.6% -32.6% 29% 29% -32.8%
≤90d 241 -25.6% -32.6% 29% 29% -32.8%
all 241 -25.6% -32.6% 29% 29% -32.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.6% 29% -32.8%
10% ← realistic here -39.1% 27% -39.3%
15% -45.0% 25% -45.1%
20% -50.4% 24% -50.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -32% → late -19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$45 vs −$30 · ×1.47 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,978
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses70 / 171
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 245
History coverage8d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day84.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 241 Trades
no open positions (168 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 24 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$55 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 24 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 24 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $31 +$33 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $45 −$43 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$36 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 24 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 24 $71 −$58 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $63 +$126 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $115 −$110 -96%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $103 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 23 $83 +$112 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 23 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 23 $73 +$66 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 23 $42 −$40 -96%
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 23 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $77 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 23 $103 +$36 +35%
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $30 −$29 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $32 −$31 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $116 −$115 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $143 +$37 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $4 +$36 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $114 −$110 -96%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? Jun 23 $56 +$444 +785%
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $152 +$148 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 23 $93 −$90 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 23 $32 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 23 $62 +$28 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $59 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 747 history records