trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +109.8% | +89.8% | 100% | 75% | +58.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +109.8% | +89.8% | 100% | 75% | +58.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +109.8% | +89.8% | 100% | 75% | +58.2% |
| all | 24 | -14.4% | -22.6% | 50% | 46% | -20.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.6% | 46% | -20.5% |
| 10% | -30.0% | 38% | -28.1% |
| 15% | -36.8% | 38% | -35.0% |
| 20% | -43.0% | 25% | -41.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Spain | 53¢ | 54¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Belgium | 37¢ | 36¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +250% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Mar 03 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Feb 24 | $3 | $0 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Feb 24 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | +$2 | +35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Feb 24 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Feb 24 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Feb 14 | $16 | +$7 | +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | Feb 14 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Feb 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28? | Jan 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 28 | $11 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20? | Dec 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 11 | $6 | +$5 | +83% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin | Dec 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Nov 11 | $3 | +$3 | +90% |