Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c2e…d530
crypto · 300 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,069 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,068 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$3,068
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses144 / 497
Open positions1
Markets (closed)641 / 300
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day742.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 641 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,649
7 days−$3,068
14 days−$3,068
30 days−$3,068
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 57¢ 52¢ $14 $13 −$1 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +316%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1389%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$7 -1503%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -762%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -680%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -4908%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$11 -288%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1010%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,272
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-44.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 641 -39.0% -44.8% 22% 22% -33.5%
≤30d 641 -39.0% -44.8% 22% 22% -33.5%
≤90d 641 -39.0% -44.8% 22% 22% -33.5%
all 641 -39.0% -44.8% 22% 22% -33.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover742.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.8% 22% -33.5%
10% ← realistic here -50.1% 20% -39.9%
15% -54.9% 19% -45.7%
20% -59.3% 18% -51.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.87 · official $13.12 (match) · 3500 history records