Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:37:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c41…3977
sports · 432 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$80 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$88
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses224 / 200
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions8
Markets (closed)424 / 432
History coverage18d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$13
14 days+$10
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 36¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-18%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 44¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+56%)
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti Katarzyna Kawa 46¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo Toronto Tempo 44¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 27¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 48¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-91%)
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Quimsa vs. Gimnasia Quimsa 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Kayla Day 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Tochigi SC vs. AC Nagano Parceiro end in a draw? No 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Roman Safiullin 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs GenOne 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Lucie Havlickova 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Dplus vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Dplus 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage Falcons Esport 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwanda Botswana 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Jun 14 $1 +$2 +165%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $3 +$4 +119%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $3 +$4 +119%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $4 +$5 +129%
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 +$4 +134%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $3 +$4 +124%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $4 +$5 +114%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $3 +$4 +129%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$4 +124%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3 +$5 +165%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $2 +$4 +180%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $3 +$4 +134%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $2 +$2 +101%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $3 +$4 +129%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $2 +$2 +105%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $4 +$5 +116%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $3 +$3 +114%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $3 +$3 +109%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $3 +$7 +238%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 44¢ $2 4m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 46¢ $2 5m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 27¢ $2 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $2 23m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 44¢ $2 24m
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Power Rangers 55¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 48¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 44¢ $1 2h
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco BUY Paris Basketball 37¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY TDK 45¢ $3 4h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 43¢ $3 6h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 36¢ $4 8h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 42¢ $2 16h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 63¢ $2 17h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 42¢ $2 24h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 48¢ $4 26h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 45¢ $3 26h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Guido Justo 57¢ $3 26h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 59¢ $4 29h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 43¢ $2 29h
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova BUY Carmen Gallardo Guevara 49¢ $2 31h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY FC Bayern Munchen 57¢ $2 47h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 49¢ $2 47h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 43¢ $2 2d
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 43¢ $4 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 42¢ $3 2d
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 49¢ $2 2d
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 38¢ $2 2d
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 45¢ $4 2d
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY BC Zenit 51¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +6.6% -3.5% 49% 49% -3.7%
≤30d 424 -6.5% -15.4% 53% 53% -15.0%
≤90d 424 -6.5% -15.4% 53% 53% -15.0%
all 424 -6.5% -15.4% 53% 53% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 53% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 51% -23.2%
15% -30.9% 47% -30.6%
20% -37.7% 38% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.97 · official $14.97 (match) · 664 history records