Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T13:00:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
6C 0x6c44…e200 crypto 1336 markets active 1h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$510 (+0%) realized +$510 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%1318W / 18L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$252per market
Trades / day57.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,344
7 days−$3,800
14 days−$3,478
30 days−$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -4.2% -13.3% 93% 3% -19.7%
≤30d 426 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 4% -9.6%
≤90d 1336 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 1% -9.6%
all 1336 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$398 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$510
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1318 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1336 / 1336
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$252
Trades / day57.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1336 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $66 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $101 +$20 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $101 +$14 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $102 +$40 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $1,004 −$1,004 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $1,013 −$1,013 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $1,002 −$1,002 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1,027 −$1,027 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$21 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$13 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $66 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $95 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $102 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $202 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $201 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records