Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:48:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c45…9740
crypto · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses8 / 29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)37 / 21
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day22.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 1 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-92%)
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will TYLOO win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Thunder downunder win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Lynn Vision win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sharks win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$16 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$15
other 25% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? SELL Up 64¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 66¢ $3 10h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 3d
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 3d
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-30.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -22.8% -30.2% 22% 22% -25.0%
≤30d 37 -22.8% -30.2% 22% 22% -25.0%
≤90d 37 -22.8% -30.2% 22% 22% -25.0%
all 37 -22.8% -30.2% 22% 22% -25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.2% 22% -25.0%
10% ← realistic here -36.9% 22% -32.2%
15% -43.0% 22% -38.8%
20% -48.5% 19% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.73 · official $0.03 (match) · 86 history records