Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:28:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c63…9f21
crypto · 305 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$348 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$348 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$348
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses91 / 214
Open positions0
Markets (closed)305 / 305
History coverage11d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day90.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 305 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$254
7 days−$249
14 days−$348
30 days−$348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 11¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+809%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$348
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -36.8% -42.8% 23% 17% -16.3%
≤30d 305 -23.9% -31.2% 30% 23% -14.6%
≤90d 305 -23.9% -31.2% 30% 23% -14.6%
all 305 -23.9% -31.2% 30% 23% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.2% 23% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -37.8% 20% -22.8%
15% -43.8% 16% -30.2%
20% -49.3% 13% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1136 history records