trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 22 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 41% | 32% | -11.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 41% | 32% | -11.2% |
| all | 22 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 41% | 32% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.2% | 32% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 27% | -19.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -29.1% | 23% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 18% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | Jun 21 | $171 | −$171 | -100% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $370 | −$370 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $648 | −$110 | -17% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Jun 19 | $600 | −$552 | -92% |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $550 | −$550 | -100% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $463 | +$2,324 | +502% |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $100 | −$60 | -60% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 17 | $390 | +$231 | +59% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $340 | +$150 | +44% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$7 | -95% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Jun 16 | $350 | +$100 | +29% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 16 | $300 | −$108 | -36% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 16 | $652 | +$43 | +7% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? | Jun 16 | $420 | +$78 | +19% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $560 | −$560 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1,345 | −$137 | -10% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 12 | $2,800 | +$213 | +8% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? | Jun 12 | $918 | −$911 | -99% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | Jun 12 | $194 | −$186 | -96% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? | Jun 11 | $629 | +$398 | +63% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +189% |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | Jun 11 | $37 | −$36 | -98% |