trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 63% | 56% | -2.0% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 63% | 56% | -2.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 63% | 56% | -2.0% |
| all | 27 | +13.5% | +2.7% | 63% | 56% | -2.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +2.7% | 56% | -2.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -7.1% | 44% | -11.4% |
| 15% | -16.1% | 26% | -19.9% |
| 20% | -24.3% | 26% | -27.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 67¢ | 97¢ | $100 | $146 | +$46 (+46%) |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Japan | 57¢ | 84¢ | $40 | $59 | +$19 (+46%) |
| World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo | Messi | 92¢ | 92¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 58¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | No | 70¢ | 71¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 26¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $52 | +$45 | +88% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $80 | +$18 | +23% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $100 | −$75 | -75% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $20 | −$19 | -95% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $201 | +$52 | +26% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $41 | +$30 | +73% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $50 | +$9 | +19% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | +$5 | +26% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | −$10 | -49% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $50 | +$13 | +27% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | +$5 | +16% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | +$17 | +86% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$24 | -78% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 20 | $4 | +$8 | +206% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$18 | +88% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$12 | +117% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | +$3 | +10% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | −$6 | -31% |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $33 | +$9 | +26% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $33 | +$7 | +21% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | +$18 | +180% |