trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -47.3% | -52.3% | 26% | 26% | -17.4% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -47.3% | -52.3% | 26% | 26% | -17.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -47.3% | -52.3% | 26% | 26% | -17.4% |
| all | 19 | -47.3% | -52.3% | 26% | 26% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -52.3% | 26% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -56.9% | 26% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -61.1% | 26% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -64.9% | 16% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $30 | +$10 (+50%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $10 | −$10 (-50%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $9 | −$9 (-50%) |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $5 | −$15 (-75%) |
| Will South Korea reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-61%) |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $21 | +$12 | +58% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $16 | −$12 | -78% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 20 | $3 | −$2 | -60% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $11 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $5 | +$3 | +54% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$2 | -19% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $11 | +$4 | +40% |