Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:03:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6c7e…6816 crypto 1295 markets active 1h ago coverage 99d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$53 (-0%) realized −$53 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate87%1131W / 164L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day22.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$70
other 0% −$6
sports 0% −$1
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -5.1% -14.1% 85% 3% -12.6%
≤30d 509 -1.4% -10.8% 93% 2% -10.4%
≤90d 1294 -0.9% -10.3% 87% 1% -10.1%
all 1295 -0.8% -10.3% 87% 1% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 1% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

99d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1131 / 164
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1295 / 1295
History coverage99d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1295 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 15 $1 +$3 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 30h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 30h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 44¢ $2 30h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3193 history records