Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:18:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6c7e…dd49 economics 3 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-2%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%1W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day48.0pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
economics 92% −$1
crypto 4% $0
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +1.8% -7.9% 33% 33% -11.4%
≤30d 3 +1.8% -7.9% 33% 33% -11.4%
≤90d 3 +1.8% -7.9% 33% 33% -11.4%
all 3 +1.8% -7.9% 33% 33% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 33% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 0% -19.9%
15% -24.7% 0% -27.7%
20% -32.1% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
8.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.2 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day48.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 11 $40 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $1 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 48 history records