trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +23.1% | +11.4% | 43% | 43% | +5.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +23.1% | +11.4% | 43% | 43% | +5.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +10.5% | -0.0% | 67% | 40% | -10.9% |
| all | 26 | -32.9% | -39.3% | 38% | 23% | -56.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.3% | 23% | -56.5% |
| 10% | -45.1% | 19% | -60.7% |
| 15% | -50.4% | 8% | -64.5% |
| 20% | -55.3% | 8% | -68.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | Over | 74¢ | 74¢ | $207 | $206 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 | Under | 73¢ | 72¢ | $146 | $145 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $24 | +$76 | +325% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $91 | +$28 | +31% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playof | Jun 21 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $44 | −$43 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $59 | +$122 | +206% |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | May 17 | $303 | −$300 | -99% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | May 07 | $277 | +$85 | +31% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 28 | $261 | +$17 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 23 | $240 | +$21 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 22 | $222 | +$18 | +8% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026? | Apr 13 | $211 | +$11 | +5% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 07 | $171 | +$40 | +23% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Apr 03 | $151 | +$20 | +14% |
| Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | Feb 08 | $1,597 | −$1,597 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 235 and 249 seats in the | Feb 08 | $420 | −$420 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 190 and 204 seats in the | Jan 27 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 190 seats in the 2026 | Jan 27 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap ele | Jan 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| House control after 2024 election? | Nov 06 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $117 | −$87 | -74% |
| Trump wins every swing state? | Nov 06 | $250 | −$166 | -66% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $100 | −$73 | -73% |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%? | Nov 06 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House | Nov 06 | $140 | −$135 | -96% |