Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6c8e…f45f
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$50 -70%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage51d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 02 $41 −$40 -97%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 22 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$50
other 29% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 1h
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 3¢ $41 41d
Magic vs. Pistons BUY Magic 23¢ $10 50d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.81 · official $19.81 (match) · 3 history records