Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:23:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
6C 0x6cac…133f sports 302 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$155 (+1%) realized +$154 · open +$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%296W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day15.9pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$120now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$97
14 days+$141
30 days+$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 184 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 1% -8.2%
≤30d 296 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 296 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.4%
all 296 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 0% -8.4%
10% -17.2% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.2% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$120
Realized+$154
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses296 / 0
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)296 / 302
History coverage28d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 296 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships: Completed Match: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Yes 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Astakhova vs. Giovannini: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 17 $0 $0 +1%
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Golubic vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Monnet (-1.5) vs Trevisan (+1.5) Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Korneeva vs. Tian: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Korneeva vs. Tian: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Olmo vs. You: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $47 $0 +1%
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $42 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Olmo vs You Jun 16 $42 $0 +1%
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $42 $0 +1%
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $42 $0 +1%
Wang vs. Gao: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 16 $51 $0 +1%
Bejlek vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bejlek vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Tauson vs. Parry: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Figueira Da Foz: Anastasia Kulikova vs Mai Hontama Jun 16 $97 +$3 +3%
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parry Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ruggeri vs. Bertea: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5) Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs Parry Jun 16 $29 $0 +1%
Kulikova vs. Hontama: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $67 +$1 +1%
Svitolina vs. Kalinskaya: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $32 $0 +1%
Kovinic vs. Bulgaru: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Micic vs. Jorge: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $89 +$1 +1%
Svitolina vs. Kalinskaya: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Ortenzi vs. Pace: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ortenzi vs. Pace: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Zhang vs. Muchova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Zhang vs. Muchova: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ortenzi vs. Pace: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ku vs. Stefanini: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Zhang vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Jorge vs. Teichmann: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Jorge vs. Teichmann: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Noskova vs. Zarazua: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Noskova vs. Zarazua: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Ku (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5) Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Frech vs. Lys: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Jorge vs. Teichmann: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Frech vs Lys Jun 16 $9 $0 +1%
Keys vs. Wang: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Keys vs. Wang: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Grabher vs. Paquet: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Rakotomanga vs. Lizarazo: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Mertens vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships: Completed Match: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra E BUY Yes 99¢ $99 12m
Astakhova vs. Giovannini: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 99¢ $0 1h
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $100 1h
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $99 1h
Set Handicap: Monnet (-1.5) vs Trevisan (+1.5) SELL Monnet 100¢ $100 16h
Set Handicap: Monnet (-1.5) vs Trevisan (+1.5) BUY Monnet 99¢ $99 16h
Korneeva vs. Tian: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 17h
Korneeva vs. Tian: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 17h
Olmo vs. You: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $47 17h
Olmo vs. You: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $47 17h
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 18h
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 18h
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $42 18h
Set 1 Winner: Olmo vs You SELL You 100¢ $42 18h
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Under 100¢ $42 18h
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 SELL Under 100¢ $42 18h
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $42 18h
Set 1 Winner: Olmo vs You BUY You 99¢ $42 18h
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $42 18h
Olmo vs. You: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $42 18h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin SELL Viktorija Golubic 100¢ $52 18h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin BUY Viktorija Golubic 99¢ $51 18h
Lamens vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 19h
Figueira Da Foz: Anastasia Kulikova vs Mai Hontama SELL Anastasia Kulikova 100¢ $100 19h
Wang vs. Gao: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 19h
Bejlek vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 19h
Bejlek vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 19h
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parry SELL Diane Parry 100¢ $100 19h
Figueira Da Foz: Anastasia Kulikova vs Mai Hontama BUY Anastasia Kulikova 97¢ $97 19h
Ruggeri vs. Bertea: Match O/U 23.5 SELL Over 100¢ $100 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $119.94 · official $119.44 (match) · 642 history records