trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 14 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 27 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 27 | $1,176 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June? | Jun 27 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $1,175 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Apr 23 | $158 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $160 | −$2 | -1% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Apr 16 | $163 | −$3 | -2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Apr 11 | $167 | $0 | -0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Mar 29 | $141 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 29 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 29 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day | Mar 26 | $134 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Mar 26 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 26 | $24 | $0 | -0% |