Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:15:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cb1…1002
sports · 831 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,392 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,295 · open −$97
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$338
Realized−$1,295
Unrealized−$97
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses365 / 561
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$664
Open positions17
Markets (closed)926 / 831
History coverage34d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day89.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 17 History 926 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$919
7 days−$1,028
14 days−$4,067
30 days−$998
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 9¢ 81¢ $10 $90 +$80 (+800%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 46¢ 46¢ $61 $62 +$1 (+1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 49¢ 36¢ $61 $44 −$17 (-28%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 40¢ 28¢ $47 $32 −$15 (-31%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Under 47¢ 24¢ $61 $31 −$31 (-50%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Over 49¢ 48¢ $23 $23 −$1 (-3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 75¢ 78¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 48¢ $8 $8 −$1 (-7%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Seattle Mariners 74¢ 72¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ 8¢ $39 $7 −$32 (-83%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 50¢ 88¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+77%)
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? No 75¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 66¢ 34¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-48%)
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No 72¢ 74¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Over 37¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 72¢ 20¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-72%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 92¢ 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-79%)
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Dakotah Bobo Dakotah Bobo 8¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Cleveland Guardians 41¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B M80 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? No 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash ra Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will América FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Laura Pigossi Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this we Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5) Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-Ma Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean loca Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$23
world 12% −$930
other 5% +$423
politics 1% −$86
finance 1% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 50¢ $2 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Toronto Tempo 50¢ $8 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics SELL Washington Mystics 49¢ $2 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 74¢ $8 1h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Toronto Tempo 52¢ $9 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $10 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 49¢ $24 3h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ $30 8h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $38 8h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 40¢ $47 9h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 47¢ $59 9h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 46¢ $62 9h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 49¢ $62 10h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 47¢ $62 11h
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics BUY Washington Mystics 56¢ $3 18h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 41¢ $3 20h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 66¢ $4 22h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY PortlandFire 45¢ $2 23h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 51¢ $3 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 51¢ $4 24h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $2 24h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 42¢ $5 25h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 38¢ $6 26h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) BUY PortlandFire 47¢ $8 27h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 46¢ $10 27h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 BUY Under 47¢ $13 27h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $2 28h
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 36¢ $9 29h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 49¢ $12 30h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $15 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -46.6% -51.7% 27% 27% -56.8%
≤30d 722 -14.9% -23.0% 39% 36% -11.5%
≤90d 926 -12.0% -20.4% 39% 37% -11.9%
all 926 -12.0% -20.4% 39% 37% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 37% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 35% -20.4%
15% -35.0% 33% -28.1%
20% -41.4% 29% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $337.85 · official $337.85 (match) · 3500 history records