Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:01:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6cb2…f666 crypto 1286 markets active 0h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (243 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$1,302 (-5%) realized −$1,302 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate64%894W / 506L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day242.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$11now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,035
7 days−$1,450
14 days−$982
30 days−$982
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,354
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (243 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 984 +17.1% +6.0% 58% 56% -17.6%
≤30d 1400 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 61% -13.7%
≤90d 1400 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 61% -13.7%
all 1400 +15.4% +4.4% 64% 61% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover242.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.4% 61% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -5.6% 53% -22.0%
15% -14.7% 33% -29.5%
20% -23.1% 17% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late +20% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$14 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$11
Realized−$1,302
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses894 / 506
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1400 / 1286
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day242.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1400 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$3 -125%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 −$4 -2641%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $15 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $44 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $27 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.76 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records