Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:56:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cb6…18da
other · 248 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 235
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)247 / 248
History coverage130d
Avg bet$236
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$19
14 days−$32
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $65 $65 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $528 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $622 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $141 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $337 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $134 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $141 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $387 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $385 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $137 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $162 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $622 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $565 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $335 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $433 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $213 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $682 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $705 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $208 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $252 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 10 $297 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $413 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $175 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $150 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $429 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $746 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $410 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 08 $231 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $355 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $264 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $799 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $329 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $423 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $529 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $526 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $460 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $365 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 04 $331 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $153 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $188 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $283 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $348 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $300 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $245 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 02 $74 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $511 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $578 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $669 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $258 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 31 $628 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $625 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$37
sports 26% −$23
politics 8% −$7
crypto 7% −$4
culture 7% −$8
economics 5% −$4
world 4% −$2
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $65 1h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $65 1h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $65 3h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $65 4h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $65 6h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $65 11h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $65 12h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $65 14h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $66 16h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 17h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $66 18h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 20h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $66 22h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $66 26h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $66 28h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $66 32h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $66 34h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $20 35h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $20 37h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $66 44h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $66 45h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $66 47h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $66 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $66 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $67 2d
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $67 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $67 2d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $67 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 247 -0.1% -9.6% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.10 · official $65.10 (match) · 1353 history records