Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:25:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6cbc…9282 crypto 349 markets active 1h ago coverage 14d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$103 (-4%) realized −$103 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate69%240W / 109L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day37.6pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$33
14 days−$157
30 days−$157
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$110
sports 11% −$44
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -1.3% -10.7% 85% 3% -11.8%
≤30d 349 -9.2% -17.8% 69% 17% -15.5%
≤90d 349 -9.2% -17.8% 69% 17% -15.5%
all 349 -9.2% -17.8% 69% 17% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 17% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 6% -23.6%
15% -32.9% 5% -30.9%
20% -39.4% 3% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.41 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses240 / 109
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)349 / 349
History coverage14d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 349 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $61 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $56 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $81 −$24 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$10 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $91 $0 +0%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 15 $11 −$1 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $5 +$5 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $61 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $51 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $56 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $44 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $51 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $58 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $81 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $51 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $41 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $51 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $52 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $51 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $52 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $51 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $91 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $91 6h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 93¢ $10 2d
Spread: Spain (-2.5) SELL Spain 58¢ $11 2d
Spread: Spain (-2.5) BUY Spain 59¢ $11 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 729 history records