trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +4.8% | -5.2% | 100% | 20% | -8.3% |
| all | 26 | +4.8% | -5.1% | 81% | 12% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 12% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 4% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 4% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 4% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $76 | $76 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | Yes | 98¢ | 94¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 80¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | Jun 01 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | May 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Mar 31 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 26 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Feb 26 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 15 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 | Jan 15 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 15 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 15 | $301 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 15 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 26 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | Dec 16 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Dec 16 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 16 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14? | Dec 02 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Dec 02 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | Dec 02 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | Nov 14 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Nov 07 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | Nov 05 | $123 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? | Nov 05 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 30? | Nov 05 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 29 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech | Oct 29 | $2 | +$2 | +75% |