Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:29:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6ccd…f1f0 crypto 381 markets active 4d ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$8 (-0%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate56%212W / 169L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day28.2pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$26
14 days−$10
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$36
sports 13% −$18
tech 0% $0
other 0% −$1
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 +1.0% -8.6% 50% 43% -20.9%
≤30d 297 -3.7% -12.8% 59% 42% -11.7%
≤90d 381 -7.0% -15.9% 56% 40% -12.7%
all 381 -7.0% -15.9% 56% 40% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 40% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 28% -21.1%
15% -31.3% 20% -28.7%
20% -38.0% 16% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses212 / 169
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)381 / 381
History coverage34d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 381 Trades
no open positions (97 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 15 $1 +$2 +238%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $3 −$2 -76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $16 −$14 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $21 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 40¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 58¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 23¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 53¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 11¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 35¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 31¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1119 history records