Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:42:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cd5…e39f
crypto · 49 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
+$594 +48%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$604 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$604
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses28 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)48 / 49
History coverage230d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 1¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-95%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +165%
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Mar 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET Mar 30 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) Mar 30 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) Mar 30 $73 −$9 -12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Mar 30 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Mar 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? Mar 30 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Mar 30 $40 −$36 -91%
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? Mar 30 $19 −$15 -78%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 10 $100 +$67 +67%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-07? Nov 10 $5 +$1 +11%
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? Nov 09 $49 −$21 -43%
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? Nov 09 $105 −$31 -29%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Nov 09 $45 +$54 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Nov 09 $3 +$2 +89%
XRP Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Nov 09 $3 +$2 +96%
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Nov 09 $4 +$1 +35%
XRP Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Nov 09 $3 +$2 +96%
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Nov 09 $3 +$2 +96%
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 4AM ET Nov 09 $5 +$5 +96%
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Nov 04 $33 −$10 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Nov 04 $18 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? Nov 04 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3AM ET Nov 04 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3PM ET Nov 03 $7 $0 -2%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025? Nov 02 $15 +$1 +4%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025? Nov 02 $81 +$8 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $64 +$30 +47%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Nov 02 $61 +$39 +64%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Nov 02 $100 +$61 +61%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Nov 02 $20 +$34 +170%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 02 $100 +$54 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Nov 01 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Nov 01 $1 +$1 +96%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) Nov 01 $165 +$382 +231%
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Oct 31 $1 +$1 +100%
Inter vs. Fiorentina: O/U 2.5 Oct 30 $1 +$1 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Oct 29 $1 $0 -4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) Oct 29 $27 +$10 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Oct 29 $1 +$1 +96%
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Oct 29 $3 +$2 +73%
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October? Oct 29 $1 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$637
other 23% −$41
crypto 9% +$2
world 0% −$5
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 1h
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 29h
Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 31h
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? BUY No 6¢ $5 131d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 60¢ $100 215d
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? SELL No 35¢ $28 215d
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? SELL Yes 35¢ $58 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $74 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $25 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 45¢ $45 215d
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? SELL No 31¢ $16 215d
XRP Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 216d
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 216d
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 216d
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 216d
XRP Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 216d
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-07? BUY No 90¢ $5 217d
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? BUY No 39¢ $20 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 4AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $16 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 220d
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 220d
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $11 220d
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 220d
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $2 220d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +75.9% +59.2% 50% 50% +125.2%
≤30d 2 +75.9% +59.2% 50% 50% +125.2%
≤90d 15 -68.6% -71.6% 7% 7% -53.7%
all 48 +17.3% +6.2% 58% 50% +34.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.2% 50% +34.6%
10% -4.0% 48% +21.7%
15% -13.3% 46% +10.0%
20% -21.8% 42% -0.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.45 · official $0.45 (match) · 175 history records