Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:10:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cdd…b908
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$85
Realized−$7
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)8 / 10
History coverage5d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 51¢ 50¢ $73 $71 −$2 (-3%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $18 −$13 -73%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $21 −$1 -5%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $11 $0 -2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $25 +$4 +16%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$2 -31%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 14 $100 +$3 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$13
politics 35% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 37m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 100¢ $2 38m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $3 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 80¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $9 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 23¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 85¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 34¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 54¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $0 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 49¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 25% -12.8%
≤30d 8 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 25% -12.8%
≤90d 8 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 25% -12.8%
all 8 -8.7% -17.4% 50% 25% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 25% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 0% -21.2%
15% -32.5% 0% -28.8%
20% -39.1% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.19 · official $85.19 (match) · 219 history records